VIP TICKET is composed of 4 matches, which are analysed by our team of professional tipsters from Switzerland.
Matches play at the same day and the total odd is over 200.
The payment might seem a bit much for a number of people who have not tried this service before. But, if you consider the odd of this ticket, the price is very small. We suggest this service, if you want to make a big amount of money fast.
|15/JANUARY/2019||Ludogorets - Botosani||2||4.60||1-3||WON|
|15/JANUARY/2019||Al Khaleej - Al-Faisaly||X||4.00||1-1||WON|
|15/JANUARY/2019||Palestine - Jordan||X||3.30||0-0||WON|
|15/JANUARY/2019||Hapoel Afula - Ashdod||1||3.60||3-1||WON|
|TOTAL ODD 218.59|
In organized sports, match fixing occurs as a match is played to a completely or partially pre-determined result, violating the rules of the game and often the law. The most common reason is to obtain a payoff from gamblers, but players may also intentionally perform poorly to gain a future advantage, such as a better draft pick or an easier opponent in a play-off. A player might also play poorly to rig a handicap system.
Match fixing, when motivated by gambling, requires contacts (and normally money transfers) between gamblers, players, team officials, and/or referees. These contacts and transfers can sometimes be found, and lead to prosecution by the law or the sports league(s). In contrast, losing for future advantage is internal to the team and very hard to prove. Often, substitutions made by the coach designed to deliberately increase the team's chances of losing (such as having key players sit out, using minimal or phantom injuries as an excuse), rather than ordering the players actually on the field to intentionally underperform, are cited as the main factor in cases where this has been alleged.
Match fixing generally refers to fixing the final result of the game. Another form of match fixing, known as spot fixing, involves fixing small events within a match which can be gambled upon, but which are unlikely to prove decisive in determining the final result of the game. Other names for match fixing include game fixing, race fixing, sports fixing, or hippodroming. Games that are deliberately lost are sometimes called thrown games. When a team intentionally loses a game, or does not score as high as it can, to obtain a perceived future competitive advantage, the team is often said to have tanked the game instead of having thrown it. In pool hustling, tanking is known as dumping. In sports where a handicap system exists and is capable of being abused, tanking is known as sandbagging.
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We use these conditions to predict the matches for the monthly subscription: football news,transfer news, injuries and suspensions. Predictions are also based on the number of points, goals, attack and defense, midfield struggles, wing struggles and league standings etc. We work hard to predict the outcome of a football match so we can keep our clients satisfied.
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|01/Jan/2019||Bristol Rovers - Burton||X||3.10||0-0||WON (+€210)|
|02/Jan/2019||Apollon - Omonia||X||4.50||1-0||LOST (-€100)|
|03/Jan/2019||Chaves - Feirense||X||3.20||0-0||WON (+€220)|
|04/Jan/2019||Fulham U23 - Middlesbrough U23||X||4.10||2-2||WON (+€310)|
|05/Jan/2019||Gateshead - Maidenhead||2||3.90||0-1||WON (+€280)|
|06/Jan/2019||Americano FC - Nova Iguacu||1||2.10||2-1||WON (+€110)|
|07/Jan/2019||Colchester U23 - Millwall U23||X||4.10||0-2||LOST (-€100)|
|08/Jan/2019||Presov - Poprad||1||4.60||3-0||WON (+€360)|
|09/Jan/2019||Nova Iguacu - Resende||2||3.80||1-2||WON (+€280)|
|10/Jan/2019||Malavan - Khooneh Be Khooneh||X||2.80||0-0||WON (+€180)|
|11/Jan/2019||Busaiteen - Al-Shabbab||1||2.60||2-0||WON (+€160)|
|12/Jan/2019||Paralimni - Doxa||2||2.50||0-1||WON (+€150)|
|13/Jan/2019||Cotonsport (Cmr) - Asante Kotoko (Gha)||2||5.70||2-3||WON (+€470)|
|14/Jan/2019||Blackburn U23 - Derby U23||2||2.50||1-3||WON (+€150)|
|15/Jan/2019||Palestine - Jordan||X||3.30||0-0||WON (+€230)|
|16/Jan/2019||Leicester U23 - Exeter U23||X||4.60||1-1||WON (+€360)|
Japan have won each of their first two matches in Group F, though they didn’t exactly make light work of beating Turkmenistan on match-day one, while they weren’t overly convincing against Oman last time out. If they’re to get the better of Uzbekistan, who’re currently above the Japanese on goal difference, then Samurai Blue may need to up their game.
On match-day one, Japan took a while to hit their stride; they trailed Turkmenistan by a goal to nil at half-time, though in their second half their extra quality told, especially in the final third. That said, given that they were playing a side that can be described as minnows at this tournament, the fact that they conceded two goals and 1.16 expected goals wasn’t overly positive.
Second time out, Samurai Blue improved at both ends of the pitch, though they were once again underwhelming. From a creativity point of view, they offered a good amount, while they gave little away, though they were wasteful in front of goal. It’s better to create chances than offer little going forward, but the finishing of Hajime Moriyasu’s men will need to improve if they’re to go all the way in UAE.
Japan may have stuttered their way to a 3-2 win, but Uzbekistan made light work of obliterating Turkmenistan last time out, as they recorded a highly convincing 4-0 win. On that occasion, the side that currently sit top of Group F found it easy to create chances, as the fact that they clocked 3.11 expected goals for suggests.
Having looked dangerous in scoring four goals last time out, it’s easy to feel that Uzbekistan could cause the Japanese more than just a few problems on Thursday afternoon.
In the betting, ‘Both Teams to Score’ makes plenty of appeal at what appears to be a slightly generous price. Japan have the quality to get seriously involved in the final third and they certainly have plenty of room for improvement in that respect too, though Uzbekistan should not be dismissed, despite what the Win/Draw/Win prices suggest. The visitors performed as though they’ve got the tools to hurt the Japanese last time out, while the fact that the pair are both averaging over 1.7 expected goals for at this tournament means that the odds on both finding the net at least really ought to be a little bit shorter.
When the draw was made, the South Koreans probably fancied themselves to emerge from Group C with minimal fuss, though China have so far led the way and currently sit top thanks to their superior goal difference. South Korea must win this match if they’re to advance as group winners.
Given that they’re one of the most prestigious nations at this tournament (in footballing terms), South Korea were expected to make light work of reaching the knockout rounds, though the way in which they won their opening two games was far from impressive. A 1-0 win was all they could manage against the Philippines on match-day one, while they could only score a single goal when defeating Kyrgyzstan last time out. Unsurprisingly, Paulo Bento’s men dominated against both Philippines and Kyrgyzstan, while they did create a reasonable amount of scoring opportunities, though their end-product was lacking. The boss will be hoping that the addition of star player Son Heung-min, who has now joined up with the squad, will help in that respect.
Against Kyrgyzstan on match-day one, South Korea did create plenty, as they clocked a useful expected-goals for figure of 2.62, though they didn’t look overly sharp at the back. On that occasion, they gave up a few chances, as the fact that they ended the game having conceded 1.61 expected goals suggests. A better side than Kyrgyzstan would’ve made them pay. With marksman Wu Lei in their ranks, China have shown that they can score goals, so Bento’s men will need to sharpen up at the back.
From a creativity point of view, China, despite scoring three more goals than Wednesday’s opponents, haven’t quite offered as much as South Korea. The Chinese are currently averaging 1.49 expected goals for, while Korea are averaging 2.26. Such numbers tell us that Korea have more about them offensively, though it is the Dragons who’ve made lighter work of getting the ball in the net. At the other end of the pitch, China have looked the better side. In terms of opportunities, against Kyrgyzstan, Marcello Lippi’s men conceded less than South Korea, who shipped 1.61 expected goals compared to just 0.82 conceded by the Chinese. What’s more, China gave up just 0.05 against Philippines, who mustered 0.46 against South Korea.
From what we’ve seen so far, it’s fair to say that South Korea are a better side than China in possession, while they seem to be that bit more creative. However, they’ve looked more open at the back and have not exactly made light work of making their dominance pay. On this basis, it’s easy to feel that the visitors have been slightly underestimated in the early betting.
It may be that South Korea go up through the gears and prove to have too much in the locker but based on what we’ve seen from the pair so far, it would be a surprise if China didn’t compete and make this a real test for the Taegeuk Warriors. Backing the Chinese with a goal head start stands out as the best option at the prices, though punters shouldn’t be put off ‘Both Teams to Score’ at what also appears to be a generous price. China have shown themselves to be more than capable going forward, while the South Koreans, despite being a tad underwhelming have created plenty of opportunities, while they now have their best attacking player on hand to provide that little bit of quality.
While the weekend brought more Mike Ashley drama on Tyneside, Newcastle United have to refocus ahead of this midweek FA Cup clash. They’re heading for Ewood Park on Tuesday, looking to dump Blackburn out of the competition. The Toon Army continue to be let down by a lack of movement in the transfer market, and that’s left them in the bottom three of the Premier League. They could be about to join Rovers in the Championship next term, but can they boost their form in this trip?
Blackburn were 2-0 winners in their trip to Millwall at the weekend, leaving them in midtable in the second tier. They’ve done a good job of stabilising in the Championship following last season’s promotion from League One, and they’ve played some good football along the way. The 1-1 draw at St James’ Park was a fine result, one which boosted Tony Mowbray’s side, and helped them turn around some dodgy away form in the league on Saturday. Now they have home advantage, but will that lead to a Premier League scalp?
Newcastle lost 2-1 at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, leaving them a point shy of safety in the top flight. Rafa Benitez is struggling to keep their average squad out of danger, while he landed the worst possible result in the cup. That 1-1 draw at home leaves them with this distraction in midweek, days before a crucial encounter with Cardiff at St James’ Park. Those at the top of the club have publically claimed in the past that chasing silverware is detrimental to their survival hopes, so this is hardly a priority days before a relegation six-pointer.
Meanwhile, Blackburn are pretty confident in their Championship place, with a 14 point lead over the bottom three. They are perfectly set up to take the cup seriously, while they showed their potential by causing problems in the first meeting between these two. There shouldn’t be a massive gap in quality, especially if the visitors are set to rotate within a thin squad.
Newcastle come here winless in six games, while their last away FA Cup victory was at Cheltenham in 2006. They’ve seen 15 ties pass since then, while they’ve lost eight of their last nine trips in the FA Cup. We see Blackburn as worthy favourites for this tie, especially after losing just once in seven home games. With that in mind, we’re going for the hosts on the Draw No Bet market.
Manchester City put in another emphatic display in midweek as they demolished Burton Albion 9-0 in the first leg of their Carabao Cup semi final, following on from their almost equally impressive 7-0 thrashing of Rotherham in the FA Cup to make it 16 goals in just 2 games.
Of course, facing off against Premier League opposition promises to be a much tougher test, but after beating Liverpool in their first game of 2019 they will be confident of getting the job done on Monday night.
Pep Guardiola’s side have undoubtedly faced a bit more competition than they did last season, but even with their mini Christmas meltdown they have still won an impressive 10 of their last 13 Premier League matches. This leaves them 4 points adrift of Liverpool, but with momentum potentially swinging in their favour after that last league clash.
Wolverhampton are no pushovers though. They beat a depleted Liverpool side in the FA Cup on Monday and have a more than respectable record of 4 wins from their last 7 Premier League matches. They find themselves up in 9th position and well in with a shot to challenge for the potential Europa League qualifying spot of 7th.
Wolves’ also have an impressive record against the top teams in the division as well. They have beaten both Spurs and Chelsea recently and have picked up a point against Arsenal, Manchester United, and Manchester City. However, at the Etihad things are likely to be tougher for them on Monday.
Even if they get overwhelmed by the Man City attack, we are expecting the visitors to get on the scoresheet. They have netted in 8 of their 10 Premier League away days this season, and for all of Manchester City’s attacking prowess they have still conceded in each of their last 6 Premier League home games.
Both teams have scored in 7 of the hosts’ last 8 Premier League matches, and both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 league meetings between Manchester City and Wolves. For this reason, backing Both Teams to Score along with a 2-1 win for Manchester City looks a great choice on Monday.
Everton came out of a gruelling run of festive Premier League fixtures with a win over Lincoln City in the FA Cup last weekend, and now they will be hoping to transfer that form back to the top flight after a poor run of results.
The Toffees last Premier League outing was a 1-0 defeat to Leicester, and that result made it 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 defeats from their last 8 outings in the league. 3 of these defeats have been against the current top 3 in the Premier League, but their most recent losses have been inflicted by the likes of Brighton and Leicester.
Fortunately for Marco Silva, he’s coming up against an injury hit Bournemouth side in their own spell of bad form on Sunday. The Cherries were eliminated from the FA Cup at home to Brighton to compound their New Year misery.
Their early season surge up the Premier League table seems an awful long time ago now. They come into this trip to Goodison Park having won 2, drawn 1, and lost 8 of their last 11 Premier League outings.
In fairness to Bournemouth, they have had some really tough matches in this run. They have lost to Manchester United twice, Arsenal, Manchester City, Spurs, and Liverpool in this period of play, but losses to Newcastle and Wolves are less easy to forgive considering how well they were playing earlier in the season.
This recent run of poor form has pushed both teams down into the bottom half of the Premier League, level on 27 points apiece but with The Toffees leading the way on goal difference. Both are still only 4 points adrift of the potential Europa League qualification spot of 7th though, so there is plenty to play for right now.
On the balance of things, we’re expecting an entertaining match from 2 attack minded teams. Bournemouth have seen 3 or more goals scored in 8 of their 10 Premier League away days this season, and 6 of the last 8 meetings between Everton and Bournemouth have seen 3 or more goals. These meetings have averaged 3.87 goals per game, so backing Over 2.5 Goals here looks a good bet along with a 2-1 win for Everton.
We’re also backing Toffees’ attacking midfielder Gylfi Sigurdsson to find the net. The Icelandic midfielder has scored in 2 of his lat 4 Premier League games to take his tally up to 8 for the season, and with 5 of these coming at Goodison Park we think he’s a great value choice for our anytime goalscorer predictions.
Both West Ham and Arsenal battled to success in their respective FA Cup 3rd Round ties last weekend, but now the action returns to the Premier League as The Hammers look to push up the top half of the table and Arsenal hope to put the pressure on Chelsea in the race for a top 4 spot.
West Ham’s disastrous start to the season has been recovered now, with their summer signings finally gelling and the results starting to flow. They are still in their seemingly endless injury crisis, but even so they have won 5 of their last 8 in the Premier League and only lost twice.
This has been enough to push them up to 10th in the table, just 3 points adrift of Leicester in 7th, despite their 4 match losing streak at the start of the campaign. However, ever since they moved into the London Stadium it has been a tumultuous time for the season ticket holders. West Ham have only won 4 of their 11 Premier League home games, losing 5 times and drawing twice.
Manuel Pellegrini’s men simply can’t get up any momentum when it comes to home results, and it’s incredibly frustrating for them as they look for Europa League qualification.
Arsenal have their eyes on the slightly bigger prize of Champions League qualification, but they’re currently lagging 3 points behind Chelsea and have seen the gap below slashed to an identical 3 points between them and Manchester United.
The Gunners looked to be on the dawn of a grand new age in October when they had won 7 Premier League matches on the bounce, but since then they have failed to win 7 of their last 12 games and have been defensively exposed on a number of occasions. Their 3-2 loss to Southampton and the 5-1 demolition at the hands of Liverpool spring to mind, but they are far from the only examples.
In fact, Arsenal are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home in the Premier League this season, although they have also managed to score in all 10 games. There have been at least 3 goals scored in 9 of these matches as well, and with West Ham conceding in each of their last 8 home Premier League games, we’re expecting an entertaining clash on Saturday.
We’re backing Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score here, along with a 2-2 correct score predictions. We’re also backing Marko Arnautovic to get on the score-sheet. The Austrian forward has found the net 5 times in his 8 home league appearances this season and netted twice against Brighton last time out, so he looks a great choice for our anytime goalscorer predictions.
Leeds lost out in the FA Cup Third Round last weekend, crashing out at QPR. While an early cup exit isn’t the worst thing for a Premier League hopeful, that result extended a poor run for the Elland Road side. Their second premature exit in a cup this season has left them on the back of a three-game losing streak. Now they host a Derby side who are pushing for a top flight spot themselves. When the pair met at Pride Park, Marcelo Bielsa’s experience and Leeds’ momentum brought them a thumping win over Derby. This time around, it seems like Leeds face a sterner test.
The hosts have set the pace in the Championship this term, but they’ve lost back to back league games in comprehensive fashion. Their last home game saw a loss to Hull, which may have come down to fatigue after a busy Christmas period. We have pointed to their style of play in the past, saying that a fixture pile-up would cause problems. Perhaps the week’s break, weakened starting line-up last weekend and lack of cup fixtures moving forward will boost their promotion challenge. However, will it help them this weekend?
They face a major rival, a Derby side who have been basically ever-present in the top six. They sit just six points shy of the top two, so their hopes of making it into the Premier League through automatic promotion stay strong. Frank Lampard’s maiden season in club management has been a success so far, bringing cup success alongside a solid league campaign. However, defensive frailties have been a real issue this season. They were 2-0 down in the FA Cup after 48 minutes, needing a late rally to force a replay. They saw plenty of high scoring games in their Carabao Cup run, something which has been present in the league, too.
They’ve seen at least three goals in 62% of their league matches, a run which has seen them hit 20 goals on the road this season, the majority of their league total. However, they’ve also conceded the majority of their goals away in some high scoring trips. Overall, they’ve seen both teams score in 77% of their away matches, form which we expect to continue against a strong Leeds side who have hit a difficult run.
The Rams have scored in 85% of their trips, form we’re backing to continue here. They’ve found the net in eight straight away games, while Leeds have scored in 92% of their Championship games. The hosts are among the league’s top scorers, while their last three meetings with Derby have seen both teams score. The visitors have seen both teams score in eight of their last nine away trips in all competitions, so we’re backing BTTS here.
Braga moved into second place in the Primeira Liga table at the weekend following a narrow 1-0 win over Boavista. On Thursday Abel Ferreira’s men will be aiming to close the gap between themselves and league leaders Porto to three points when they visit Portimonense. The hosts surprisingly lost away at Maritimo on Saturday, but remain eighth in the table and five points outside the top five.
After beating Benfica in their previous match, Portimonense arrived at the Estádio dos Barreiros almost expecting to pick up three points against a struggling Maritimo side. However, Edgar Costa scored the only goal of the first half to see Maritimo take the lead, despite a decent performance from the visitors. Portimonense had more of the ball and created more scoring opportunities than their hosts, but it was Maritimo that scored the all important second goal of the game through Correa with just six minutes left on the clock. The visitors finally got the goal their play deserved via a stoppage time penalty from Paulinho, but Maritimo held on to secure a much needed win in their battle against relegation.
A solitary strike in the twenty-fifth minute from Ricardo Horta proved enough for Braga to claim a narrow victory over Boavista on Sunday. The visitors arrived with a reputation for not scoring or conceding many goals of late, and predictably Boavista proved hard to break down during the entire ninety minutes. The visitors managed thirteen shots during the match, five more than their hosts, which was a surprise considering the statistics from their more recent games, but Boavista still failed to convert a single chance and were left with nothing to show for their efforts. They will be without defender Gonçalo Cardoso for their next game after he was sent-off in stoppage time. Braga had a bit of an off day in the final third, but did enough to win the game and produced another clean sheet on their way to three points which took them above Sporting CP and into second place.
These two clubs last met in January 2018, where the hosts Portimonense found themselves 2-0 down after ten minutes and never properly recovered from the early setback. Paulinho put Braga in front in the eighth minute and teammate Eduardo doubled their advantage two minutes later, but the hosts should have pulled a goal back in the twelfth minute when Nakajima stepped up to take a penalty, only to fluff his lines. Portimonense were awarded another penalty in the fifty-sixth minute and this time substitute Fabricio shouldered the responsibility and converted from 12-yards to halve the deficit. The hosts were dominating the game at this point and really should have taken a point from the match after having 59% of the possession, three times as many corners, and twelve shots to Braga’s four during the ninety minutes, but the visitors held on to secure a 2-1 win.
There isn’t much between these two clubs in the form guide, but with five wins and one defeat from their last six matches it’s Braga who head into Thursday’s game as the form favourites. Portimonense had picked up four wins and suffered just two defeats from their last six, so we’re expecting a close and competitive game between the pair this week. Japan’s Nakajima missed a penalty the last time the two clubs met, but top scores in the league for Portimonense this season with five goals. Braga’s Dyego Sousa is currently the top scorer in the Primeira Liga this season with an impressive eleven goals to his name, and with Dost picking up a head injury, the Brazilian could extend his lead at the top of the scoring charts over the next few weeks.
We’re confident that both teams will score in Thursday’s game, and have backed the match to end in a 1-1 draw. Both teams have scored in four of the last six meetings between these two clubs, while both teams have also scored in four of Portimonense’s last six matches. Braga have scored in each of their last six and we’re expecting both teams to get on the scoreboard in Thursday’s game as well.
Japan kick off their 2019 Asian Cup campaign on Wednesday, as they look to secure silverware. The four-time champions will be looking for another strong showing this winter. They’ve won three of the last five Asian Cups, and are seen as a front-runner to go all the way in the UAE. Their 2019 campaign starts off with a straightforward looking encounter, as they are heavy favourites to claim three points against Turkmenistan. Can the 2011 champions kick off with a victory in their opener?
The favourites are coming into this tournament following a solid campaign in Russia last summer. They edged out the likes of Poland and Senegal to reach the last 16 of the World Cup, while they almost caused a monumental shock after taking a 2-0 lead over Belgium. While they went out at the first knockout round, it was a strong showing from the Japanese. They’ve spent the last couple of months switching up their squad, aiming to bring in more young blood as they chase more Asian Cup success.
The underdogs don’t quite have the same lofty expectations. They’ve been thrown into a group with Oman and Uzbekistan, with Japan the obvious favourites to go through. In many ways, this is the perfect opener for Turkmenistan, who can focus on sides who are closer to their level. However, as the lowest ranked side in the tournament – they sit 127th in the FIFA rankings – it could be a tough group for Turkmenistan. They come here with a squad plucked from two major clubs in their domestic league – Altyn Asyr and Ahal – but there’s little else going for them.
Turkmenistan last made this competition back in 2004, securing just one point as they crashed out at the group stage. Japan went on to win the trophy that year, something they’ll be out to emulate. Meanwhile, it’s hard to know what to expect from the underdogs, who have played one match since qualifying for the tournament. They finished their qualifying group with a 4-0 humbling by Bahrain back in March, a result which could be repeated here based on the pre-match odds.
Japan have looked great since the World Cup, pulling off some high profile wins. They edged a seven-goal thriller against Uruguay, while they’ve recorded recent wins to nil over Kyrgyzstan, Panama and Costa Rica. We see them having a comfortable time against the weakest side in the competition. We’re going for Japan to win to nil in this clash, along with a 2-0 win as Japan look to get their campaign off to the perfect start.
Montpellier currently sit 4th in Ligue 1 after a great first half to the season has seen them rise up the table, despite finishing 10th last year. Michel Der Zakarian’s men have all been on top form but the wheels are beginning to come off, with them only winning one of their last six matches in all competitions.
Some of these games were very difficult affairs as they drew with 3rd placed Lyon and lost to 2nd placed Lille but they couldn’t have had an easier match to start 2019 with as they travelled to Paris to face L’Entente in the Coupe de France. A team hardly 30 years old sitting 15th in the third division of French football should be seen as an easy target for a Ligue 1 club. This was a great opportunity for Montpellier to sink a good few past the minnows but L’Entente managed to win 1-0 through Mathieu Geran’s 94th minute winner.
This has caused heads to drop at Montpellier; they had been flying so high but these poor performances really set them back in a year they should be aiming for European qualification for the first time since 2012. They have conceded ten goals in their last eight matches, despite letting in just four in the eight previous.
Nantes should really be taking advantage of the sorry run of form Montpellier currently find themselves in. Nantes are well below their opponents in 14th but have really shown their steel in some tough matches, such as their wins over Marseille (3-2), Toulouse (4-0) and Montpellier themselves, just a few months ago (3-0). They were unfortunate to close off 2018 with two losses as Rennes have recently kicked back into form (1-2) and a trip to Paris is always a hefty ask (0-1).
They have managed to shake that negativity though and opened the calendar year with a confident 4-1 victory over Ligue 2 side Châteauroux. The win never looked in doubt and allowed Nantes to flex their muscles ahead of this match. They have generally been pretty good in front of goal recently with 20 in their last ten matches. However, they have only kept two clean sheets in this time, something that will need to be addressed in the January transfer window.
The loss against L’Entente will have knocked a lot of the stuffing out of this Montpellier side and with them now in a pretty dire run of form, we think it could get a lot worse for them against Nantes. The Canaries have won four of their last five meetings with Montpellier and with them fresh off the back of a 4-1 win, we’re backing them to continue this here. Nantes’ forwards have been bang in form and with them putting three past Montpellier in October, we’re going to back them to recreate a similar type of performance here with a 2-1 victory. Nantes are also pretty poor at the back so we’re expecting Montpellier who have scored in eight of their last ten away games to get on the score-sheet here.
The Monday night game in La Liga again features Athletic Bilbao but they approach the new year with a bit more optimism having made a decent start to life under new boss Gaizka Garitano. They still have a relegation fight on their hands it would seem and this is a tricky game for them against a useful Celta Vigo side.
Celta may be a bit concerned about potentially losing striker Maxi Gomez this month. Atletico Madrid are known to be admirers and could be tempted to move with Diego Costa currently sidelined. Barcelona meanwhile have also been linked with a bid for the Uruguayan who has netted 8 times in La Liga for a Celta Vigo side that sit in mid-table as we approach the halfway stage.
They would probably have rather faced Athletic Bilbao a month earlier in truth. The Basques are unbeaten in 4 matches since sacking Eduardo Berizzo but did end 2018 with a real sucker punch as Óscar Plano scored a last minute equaliser for Valladolid at San Mames. It was the first goal conceded under Garitano and denied them the chance to move 3 points clear of the drop-zone.
They may well be back in the bottom three by the time this one kicks off and overall it’s hard to see them winning this game, despite some tentative signs of improvement. Athletic’s away record in 2018 was abysmal with just 1 win in 18 away league games heading into this match. There are some fundamental problems in this Athletic side, particularly up front and their Basque-only policy means there are few viable quick fixes that could be brought in this month.
Celta Vigo meanwhile are always tough to beat at Balaidos. They only suffered 2 home league defeats in all of 2018, one of which was against Real Madrid. There were many draws last year though and backing Celta Vigo Draw No Bet appeals more than going for them to win outright in what is likely to be quite a tight game.
Backing Under 2.5 Goals also looks good. Both sides have been more cautious since their recent coaching changes and overall have looked better defensively. Only two sides have scored fewer goals than Athletic Bilbao in La Liga this term and with Celta missing top scorer Iago Aspas to injury, you have to wonder where the goals are going to come from here.
Despite looking set to play a part in the relegation scrap earlier in the season, QPR have been ticking along nicely in the Championship. Sunday’s hosts come into this match without defeat in five, three of which they’ve won, so they ought to be feeling upbeat, especially since they’re facing a Leeds side that has started to show signs of weakness in recent weeks.
In terms of results, QPR have done well of late, but from a performance point of view, they’ve not been great. The hosts have failed to create 1.0 expected goals in three of their last four, while they’ve also been outperformed in terms of expected goals in three of their last four. They scored twice away at Villa last time, though those goals were mainly down to sloppy defending from the opposition. That said, Leeds have given plenty away of late, so the hosts may not need to do too much to get on the score-sheet here.
While QPR’s overall efforts haven’t been massively eye-catching of late, it would be unfair to say that they’ve not done well at home. Steve McClaren’s men have lost just one of their last eight on home soil, while they’ve posted some very respectable underlying numbers when playing in front of the Loftus Road faithful. Sunday’s hosts are averaging 1.65 expected goals for, while they’ve given up just 1.11 at the other end.
In contrast, Leeds have started to make a bit of a habit of giving plenty away. They conceded four goals and 2.81 expected goals against Nottingham Forest last time out, while they surrendered 1.76 expected goals when shipping twice against Hull on December 29th. It’s important not to judge the Whites purely on those performances, though at the same time, such efforts cannot be ignored.
In addition to defending poorly in their last two matches, the fact that Leeds, who’re two points clear at the top of the Championship, are currently involved in the title race could go against them here. Manager Marco Bielsa may rest some of his key players to keep them fresh for the next assignment in the league. In contrast, QPR will be keen to ensure that their unbeaten run doesn’t come to an end in front of a home crowd.
If we consider the recent efforts of Leeds, coupled with the fact that QPR have looked more than useful on their own patch, then it’s easy to make a case for the hosts. Against a visiting side that is likely to be more concerned with resuming winning ways in the league, the hosts have a good opportunity to extend their unbeaten run and are worth backing on the ‘Draw No Bet’ market.
On Saturday Bournemouth and Brighton go head to head in the FA Cup and were expecting a close game between two teams separated by a single point in the Premier League table. Neither side head into the game in good form, with both winning just one of their last six matches in all competitions. The visitors form does appear to be improving though as they remain unbeaten in their last three games against West Ham, Everton, and Arsenal.
Bournemouth were involved in a six-goal thriller on Wednesday night when they played host to Watford, with all of the goals arriving in an action packed first forty-five minutes. Two goals from Watford’s Troy Deeney saw the visitors take a two goal lead inside the half hour mark, but Bournemouth responded well and levelled the match through goals from Aké and Wilson. The hosts were only on level terms for a minute before Sema thrust Watford back in front, but a great reaction from the home side saw Fraser level the two teams five minutes before the break. Amazingly there were no further goals in the second half, perhaps due to some stern words for both defences from their managers, and Bournemouth will be the more disappointed of the two clubs not to have won the game after they created more chances.
After a goalless first half at the London Stadium, Brighton scored two goals in the space of two minutes to take the lead against West Ham. Stephens opened the scoring in the fifty-sixth minute and defender Duffy scored a second in the fifty-eighth minute to hand Brighton a commanding lead. However, West Ham responded well and scored two goals of their own, also in the space of two minutes, through Arnautović to rescue a point from a game they would have expected to win before kick-off. Brighton gave a good account of themselves and deserved something from the game on the balance of play and stretched their unbeaten run in the Premier League to three.
Bournemouth and Brighton met in December to contest three Premier League points at the Vitality Stadium, where the visitors ended the game with just ten-men on the pitch. Young Welsh midfielder Brooks put Bournemouth in front in the twenty-first minute, and that goal separated the two clubs at the half time interval. Brighton looked a threat going forward, especially from set pieces, but shot themselves in the foot when centre back Dunk picked up two yellow cards in the space of eleven minutes and had to leave the field of play. It took the hosts just four minutes to capitalise on their one man advantage as Brooks helped himself to his second goal of the game to wrap up a comfortable 2-0 win for Bournemouth.
With one win, two draws, and three defeats from their last six matches, Brighton head into Saturday’s FA Cup tie as the slight form favourites. Bournemouth also have one win from their last six matches, but only the single draw, and four defeats and could really do with a win to kick start their new year. Wilson top scores for the hosts with nine goals in the league alone this season, while veteran striker Murray continues to lead the way for Brighton with eight Premier League goals so far.
We’re confident that both teams will score and that over 2.5 goals will be produced in Saturday’s game, and have backed Bournemouth to claim a narrow 2-1 win. Bournemouth have won five of the last six meetings between the two clubs, with three of those last six encounters seeing both teams score and over 2.5 goals scored. Bournemouth’s last three games have produced over 2.5 goals, and the most recent two have also seen both teams score, while three of Brighton’s last six matches have seen both team score
After failing to come through the initial tie, Tranmere showcased their quality when beating Southport by two goals to nil in the previous round, though the fact that they required a replay against a National League North side doesn’t exactly bode well ahead of a match against one of England’s top sides. Even if the visitors rotate heavily, Micky Mellon’s side will need to do much better if they’re to compete on Friday night.
In League Two, Tranmere have made some pleasing headway this season. They’ve been anything but outclassed since making the step up from the National League, while they’ve offered a good amount at both ends of the pitch. Competing against sides in the fourth division is very different to competing against a top-four side from the Premier League, though the fact that Tramere have coped well this season will leave them feeling upbeat.
It must be said that Tranmere’s home performances this season have been encouraging, especially from a defensive point of view. Friday’s hosts have found it easy to keep teams at bay when playing in front of their own fans, as the fact that they’ve shipped just five goals in twelve home games suggests. What’s more, they’ve also prevented their League Two counterparts from creating much at Prenton Park. Tranmere have surrendered an average of just 0.8 expected goals on their own patch, which is very good.
However, despite their pleasing defensive stats in the league, Tranmere have a rather poor record against higher-level sides in this competition. They shipped five against League One’s Peterborough last season, while Swansea visited Prenton Park are scored six back in 2015. They also conceded five goals against both Derby and Peterborough back in 2013. Such a record isn’t great, though the visitors haven’t always been at their best against lower-level teams in recent seasons, so there’s hope for the hosts yet.
While Tranmere have struggled against teams plying their trade at a higher level in recent times, Tottenham haven’t exactly flourished against sides lower down the Football League pyramid. Despite reaching the semi-finals of the FA Cup last season, Mauricio Pochettino’s men failed to win away against both Rochdale and Newport, while it took them an hour to break down Wimbledon at Wembley at this stage of the competition.
Spurs’ have looked very good in the league of late; they’ve generally found it easy to break teams down and have been scoring goals at will. Against League Two opposition, the Premier League boys could run riot, though given the numbers above, coupled with the fact that Pochettino is likely to rest several of his key players, it’s easy to envisage the visitors struggling more than the prices suggest.
At the prices, the bet that stands out is ‘Tottenham to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’. Away against both Rochdale and Newport last season, both of whom sat deep with men behind the ball, Spurs were unable to create an abundance of clear-cut opportunities. As was the case on both of those occasions, the visitors are likely to field a half-strength side, so a defensively-minded Tranmere, who’re no strangers to keeping things tight at home, could keep things respectable.
It may only be the start of January, but Thursday’s clash at the Etihad has the distinct flavour of a Premier League title decider. The 2 main competitors go head to head here, and a win either way could see a huge shift in the balance of power. A Liverpool win would put them some 10 points clear of the defending champions, but a Manchester City win would end Liverpool’s unbeaten season and close the gap to a much more manageable 4 points.
Manchester City will be thankful of the home advantage as well, because as far as overall form goes they are some way off Liverpool’s pace. They have lost 3 of their last 5 Premier League outings, including a first home defeat of the domestic season against Crystal Palace before Christmas.
Fortunately for Pep Guardiola’s men, they did manage to get back to winning ways with a 3-1 dismantling of Southampton on Sunday. However, Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool is a much more daunting prospect than the relegation threatened Saints.
Liverpool are coming into the New Year flying high on confidence. They demolished Arsenal 5-1 at Anfield in their last game of the year, following on from a 4-0 thrashing of Newcastle to make it 9 league wins on the bounce. They have dropped just 6 points all season and have averaged 2.4 goals per game. However, those dropped points do tell a more ominous story.
They have all come against Premier League Big Six sides, with draws away to Chelsea and Arsenal and a stalemate at home to Manchester City. The Citizens, meanwhile, have won 9 of their 10 home league games this season.
As you might expect, we’re hopeful of an entertaining clash between the 2 best attacking sides in the top flight. They have notched an incredible 102 goals between them in the league this season, and with Manchester City conceding 7 goals in their last 5 home games and only keeping 3 league clean sheets at the Etihad all season, we’re not expecting Guardiola to rely on his defensive stability here.
In fact, an Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score bet has landed in 7 of Manchester City’s 10 home games and all but one of them have seen 3 or more goals scored. Liverpool have seen 3 or more goals in 5 of their trips away and have had both teams score in 5 as well. Considering how fragile that Manchester City defence looks at the moment we think going for Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score is a good idea.
We’re also leaning towards a home win here. Manchester City didn’t get to the status of Premier League champions by collapsing under pressure, and they could well thrive on this sort of must-win occasion. We’re going for a 3-2 win for the hosts, and we’re backing Raheem Sterling to score against his former club. Sterling has netted 7 goals in just 8 home league appearances this season and looks a great price to get on the score-sheet.
Portimonense may only be in their 2nd season back in the top flight, but they’re putting in a very good account of themselves so far. They finished in a respectable 10th position last term, and while they are currently sitting in that same, unimproved position, their recent form does suggest that they’re capable of more.
The hosts failed to win any of their opening 4 matches, but since then they have won 6, drawn one, and lost only 3 of their 10 Primeira Liga outings. Their 20 point haul leaves them just 5 points adrift of Guimaraes in 5th place and a comfortable looking 9 points clear of the relegation zone. Considering their current form, their supporters can definitely afford to look optimistically at the future.
Just before Christmas Portimonense beat Feirense 1-0 away from home to make it 3 wins from their last 4 matches. It was some rare away day success for a side who primarily save their results for the home crowd. Indeed, at home they haven’t lost since their first match of the season, winning 4 and drawing 2 since then, including a stunning 4-2 win against Sporting Lisbon.
Benfica will be a big challenge though. The visitors gave themselves an early Christmas present with a 6-2 thrashing of the previously in form Sporting Braga. This makes it 5 wins on the bounce for them and pushes them into 2nd place, just 4 points adrift of leaders and rivals FC Porto.
The visitors have scored 15 goals in this 5 match period and are currently the top scoring side in the division. However, Portimonense know how to grab a goal or 4 as well. The hosts have scored 16 of their 20 league goals on home soil this season and have found the net in 6 of their 7 matches. Admittedly they haven’t kept a clean sheet there all season, but Benfica’s defence will need to be on red alert facing Portimonense.
Benfica have conceded in 3 of their last 5 away games in the league too, so given Portimonense’s excellent goal-scoring record at home, we think backing Both Teams to Score is a great option here. Also, considering the hosts’ unbeaten streak at home, we like the look of a 2-2 correct score predictions.
home team wins = 1
draw = X
away team wins = 2
home team wins OR draw = 1X
away team wins OR draw = X2
home team OR away team win = 12
HALFTIME home team wins - FULLTIME home team wins = 1/1
HALFTIME draw - FULLTIME home team wins = X/1
HALFTIME home team wins - FULLTIME away team wins = 1/2
HALFTIME home team wins - FULLTIME draw = 1/X
HALFTIME draw - FULLTIME draw = X/X
HALFTIME away team wins - FULLTIME draw = 2/X
HALFTIME away team wins - FULLTIME home team wins = 2/1
HALFTIME draw - FULLTIME away team wins = X/2
HALFTIME away team wins - FULLTIME away team wins = 2/2
under 2,5 goals = 0-2
over 2,5 goals = 3+
over 3,5 goals = 4+
over 4,5 goals = 5+
over 5,5 goals = 6+
over 6,5 golas = 7+
Both teams to score
both teams to score YES = GG
both teams to score NO = NG
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